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Register as a The historical climatic record of Nigeria has shown considerable signals of a changing climate. However, with the increasing late onset of the rainy season characterized the period from to implies a vast portion of the country is greatly affected by delay onset of the rains Figure 1b.

Their results ascertained that the period of the rainy season in the country has decline from while the signals of late onset and early cessation of the rainy season set in. Thus, the length of the rainy season has remained shrinking; the annual total rainfall is almost the same, thereby giving rise to occasional flash floods and drought occurrences during growing period.

Anuforom opined that yearly rainfall amounts all over the country were generally higher than long term mean values.

Temperatures across the country showed an increasing trend from midth century to date. The mean temperature anomaly Figure 3 indicated warming in most locations in the country. Temperatures have increased from 0. The higher global GHG emissions scenario the A2 scenario was selected as the strongest. Overall, the scenarios suggest a warmer climate in the future. The historical record between and shows a trend in rising temperature in Nigeria. In total, over the thirty year period studied, the maximum and minimum temperatures have increased by 0.

In addition, the incidence of heat waves defined as continuous hot days has increased by more than 20 days over the period Abiodun et al.

Akure is a microcosm of the Nigeria nation situated in the high forest zone or rainforest in the south west region. The climate of the area consists of two peaks rainy season with short and long dry season. The annual rainfall varies from 2,mm in the southern areas to 1,mm in the northern areas. The rainfall decreases in amount and distribution from the coast to the hinterland.

Thus, the fact that Akure is located in a warm humid tropical climate of Nigeria and its rainfall is characterized by large inter-annual variability with increasing temperature, there is a need for continuous studying. This present study analyzes the rainfall trends and temperature patterns in the zone in order to determine the current climatic trends.

The rapid growth of the city, particularly within the last 25 years, has made it one of the fastest growing metropolitan cities in the Southwestern Nigeria.

Akure experiences a warm humid tropical climate, with two distinct seasons, the rainy and dry seasons. The rainy season lasts for about seven months, April to October. Akure and its environs experience a frequent annual rainfall of over mm with a short August break. The vegetation is tropical rainforest and drained by River Ala and its tributaries Barbour et al.

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Monthly rainfall and temperature data of to 32 years and to 21years were used for this study. The monthly and annual values were calculated from the monthly rainfall and temperature amounts. Descriptive statistics analyses such as the mean, regression were computed from the climatic data. Also, a pictorial representation in the form of climatograph, after Walter-Lieth and control charts.

Time series analysis of the monthly and annual rainfall and temperature values were used to illustrate the trend in rainfall and temperature behaviours and also in estimating seasonal variation. Figure 5 shows the climate diagram after Walter-Lieth. The temperature and precipitation scales were plotted in a ratio of At the top of the diagram are indicated the station name and altitude, the period of record, and the annual means.

The data, in the form of monthly averages, were plotted as time series on the same graph. When the precipitation curve supersedes or lies above the temperature curve, a moisture surplus are indicated which implies the humid condition wet season. On the other hand, when the precipitation curve undercuts the temperature curve, a moisture deficit is implied, indicating dry season. From the Figure 5, it can be observed that the period from March to end of November is humid blue areas ; while in the other months arid conditions light yellow areas predominate.

The months from April until October show high rainfall a change in rainfall level of a factor of Also, Figure 5 indicates that the rainy season usually begins in March and by April or early May, the rainy season covers everywhere throughout the area. The result showed a double rainfall maxima characterized by two peaks, with the first and second peaks occurring in June and September respectively. This implies that the first rainy season begins around March and last to the end of July with a peak in June.

Although rarely completely dry, this dip in rainfall can be useful agriculturally, because it allows a brief dry period for grain harvesting and also for preparing lands for second growing season Gbuyiro and Adefisan, This break is broken by the short rainy season starting around early September and lasting to October with a peak period at the end of September.

While months between March and November experience more than mm monthly rainfall. As it appears from the graph, September recorded the highest monthly rainfall The increasing wetness of the September period was therefore triggered towards widespread flooding and erosion by the heavy rainfall such as that of Adefolalu et al. From the graph, it can be observed that temperature rises during the dry periods November-March ; and gradually cools at the approach of the wet season.

This may be due to increase in rainfall observed. This is due to the fact that early planting encouraged by false start of the rains was subsequently followed by rainfall cessation. In consequence, crops like maize already planted and beginning to germinate after the early rains was soon killed off by lack of moisture. When the crops do not fail, the vagaries of weather can still cause variation in yield Olaniran, The annual variation in rainfall over Akure is displayed in Figure 5. There is a year to year variation in rainfall, which is evident in the graph. The trend suggests fluctuations, either increasing or decreasing.

From the figures, the years , , and recorded high rainfall amounts while the least amount was recorded in It is evident that despite the fluctuations, rainfall is slightly on the increase.

According to Olaniran , the area is characterized by alternating wet and dry conditions with rainfall anomaly showing wetter than normal rainfall conditions. This finding is also in agreement with the observation made by BNRCC, that this zone is now experiencing wetter conditions in recent years. These results agree with the work of Ojo et al. However, Figure 6 shows how rainfall varies over time. A control chart is sometimes called shewhart or process-behaviour chart.